The probability of a US recession this year has plunged on Polymarket and Kalshi. Prediction gurus break down what that means ...

Key characteristics of a recession include slides in gross domestic product growth, rising unemployment, decreased consumer spending, and a fall in industrial production.

Charles Schwab’s stock rose to trade at an all-time high on Friday, after the brokerage signaled a robust second half of 2025 ...

Brokerages HSBC, Deutsche Bank and BofA warned on Thursday that the U.S. economy faces a higher risk of slipping into a recession this year if President Donald Trump's sweeping new levies remain ...

Global brokerages had raised their odds of a U.S. and global recession last month as tariff concerns threatened to weaken business confidence and slow growth.. Goldman also hiked its 2025 U.S. GDP ...

Delaying recession predictions isn’t anything new. Investors and economists last year predicted that the US could enter a recession in early 2023, after the Fed set out on its aggressive ...

The inverted yield curve has gotten a lot of attention for sending a false signal—so far—of a recession since late 2022. But the behavior of another indicator, the Conference Board’s Leading ...

According to a Financial Times survey, 68% of economists believe there will be a recession in 2023. Asked when the next recession was most likely to start, 38% said it would be the first or second ...

Major brokerages, including Goldman Sachs, J.P.Morgan and Morgan Stanley, have forecast slower global growth for late 2025 due to economic uncertainty fueled by tariffs and geopolitical tensions.

Global Brokerages Raise Recession Odds; J.P.Morgan Sees 60% Chance. More. Reuters. The J.P.Morgan logo is seen at their offices at Canary Wharf financial district in London,Britain, March 3, 2016.

Recession Predictions Are Piling Up. Don't Freak Out. ... He noted that 11 out of 14 tightening cycles in the U.S. since World War II were followed by a recession within two years.